#246 – PRACTICAL PATH TO MITIGATING GLOBAL WARMING RISK – JOHN AYERS

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The 2020 democratic presidential candidates are backing the New Green Deal, which calls for the elimination of fossil fuels within 10-40 years (depending on which candidate you are talking to). If America is serious about this goal, then nuclear fusion power is the only practical way to begin to achieve it. Continue reading

#244 – CHINA AND DIGITAL CURTAIN RISK – JOHN AYERS

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The trade and tariff disputes with China are not stopping and are escalating.  We’re going to hear a lot more about the digital curtain with China.  This seems to be the only issue that the U.S. Democrats and Republicans seem to agree on.

What is the Digital Curtain?
The short answer is a digital technological divide between the US and China that started years ago but has intensified greatly recently due to President Trump’s assault on Huawei, China’s largest technological company. Continue reading

#216 – HOW RISK INFORMED, DECISION MAKING CHANGED A LIFE – JOHN AYERS

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AAA-150x150Risk Based Informed Decision Making (RIDM) has a risk assessment as input as well as social and other benefits residual risks. This data or information empowers the person to make an informed decision. This following is an example of RIDM. Continue reading

#215 – PROGRAMMATIC VS. PROJECT LEVEL OF RISK – JOHN AYERS

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AAA-150x150Enterprise Risk Management (ERM) is a relatively new concept. It is a top down approach to business system management and execution. It is designed to identify potential events and risks that can impact the organization. There are 3 levels to ERM. These are: Enterprise Level; Program/Project Level; and Product level. This paper explains the differences between the program and project level.  Continue reading

#213 – FIRM FIXED PRICE CONTRACTS CAN BE RISKY – JOHN AYERS

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AAA-150x150A Firm Fixed Price (FFP) contract is a commonly used one by the government because the price is fixed and not subject to change unless the scope changes.  The government assumes very little risk while the contractor assumes the majority of the risk. But if you want to play in the sand box and the RFP (request for quote) requires an FFP contract then the contractor has to bid it that way and hopefully has included adequate risk budget in the price. This is a story about an FFP contract that did not work out well for my company resulting in serious consequences. Continue reading