Introduction

We are enamored by risk models, mathematic algorithms, equations and formulae.  As a matter of fact, we have become so enamored by complex mathematical algorithms, formulas, models and derivatives that we have abdicated much of the analysis of risk, to these complex formulas and quantitative analysis methodologies touted by firms far and wide.  Where has this gotten us?  Are we better able to predict and measure risk exposures?  Are we managing risk more effectively? Continue reading →