The risk of a pandemic is not an unknown unknown.  In the 2019 World Economic Forum’s Global Risk Report it ranked at a less than average likelihood with a more than average impact.  Not a bad assessment but the causes and consequences are difficult to evaluate.  There is a barrage of statistical data by country; a lack of knowledge and changing opinions which generates misinformation that is then clouded by journalistic sensationalism in the hunt for yet more breaking news and a spot on the TV.  Continue reading →