The author is retired from IBM and owns a research company that uses artificial intelligence to examine economic and technical issues. Unless people use computers for research, they may be unaware of two growing economic threats: 1) job losses caused by artificial intelligence; 2) Sea level rises due to global warming.
The author queried the Google Bard artificial intelligence tool about the calendar year that these two problems would become serious threats to the Florida economy, and the year 2050 was the answer to both questions.
Artificial Intelligence Risks to National, Florida, and Sarasota Employment
Artificial intelligence (AI) is a new technology that is changing science, business, authorship and publishing, military operations, and medical care. Artificial intelligence will also have a major impact on U.S. employment. This article discusses seven critical questions of importance to national, state, and local governments, andalso important to corporations, schools, and universities:
- How many U.S. jobs exist in 2024?
- How many jobs will artificial intelligence eliminate?
- How many jobs cannot be done by artificial intelligence?
- How many new jobs will artificial intelligence create?
- What kinds of jobs will be lost to AI?
- What kinds of jobs cannot be done by AI?
- What kinds of new jobs will AI create?
Note: The AI tool Google Bard was used for fact checking in this draft and to do research on employment statistics. Some of the illustrations were produced using artificial intelligence. As of 2024 AI-generated illustrations cannot be copyrighted. This means that new books using AI-generated illustrations will have many more illustrations than older books on the same topics.
The author of this report is retired from IBM and owns a research company, Namcook Analytics.
Before getting to the main topic of using artificial intelligence for political campaigns and government operations, it is useful to identify some of the available AI tools. Readers should check frequently because new AI tools are being created rapidly.
Examples of Free Artificial Intelligence Tools
ChatGPT Probably the most widely used AI tool.
Google Bard Popular with Google email users
FOTOR AI Used for images and art creation.
Jasper AI Used for text and document content.
Lensa Used for facial images.
Photosonic Used for AI art and images.
Artbreeder Used for AI art and images.
Bing Image Creator Used for AI art and images.
Readers should check the latest tools for generating pictures with artificial intelligence since new AI tools appear frequently.
The first image shows a male avatar:
The second image shows a female avatar:
AMERICAN JOBS THREATENED BY ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE
2024 U.S. Employment = 165 million; threatened by AI = 105 million
- Accountants
- Advertising workers
- Artists
- Authors of fiction books
- Assembly line workers
- Banking back-office personnel
- Clerical workers
- College administrators
- College professors
- Computer game designers without AI
- Consultants without AI support
- Customer support personnel
- Drivers of long-range trucks that do not have to unload vehicles
- Editors of books and magazines
- Engineers: civil, electrical etc.
- Financial workers
- Free-lance writers
- Function point counting specialists
- Government workers in junior positions
- High-school teachers
- Hotel clerks
- Interior decorators
- Illustrators
- Limo drivers
- Literary agents
- Magazine production personnel
- Marketing personnel
- Music composers
- Musicians who record music
- Paralegals
- Pilots and/or copilots
- Publishers: books, magazines
- Reservation clerks
- Retail clerks
- Secretaries
- Software engineers on business applications
- Software out-source companies and personnel
- Software maintenance programmers
- Software technical writers
- Space pilots
- Taxi drivers
- TV and movie production personnel
- Technical writers on engineering
- Teachers
- Webmasters
The next image shows laid-off workers due to artificial intelligence:
Next is a graph from Forrester Research of probable job losses due to AI:
AMERICAN JOBS THAT CANNOT BE DONE BY ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE
2024 U.S. Employment = 165 million; unthreatened = 55 million
- Actors and actresses in live theater
- Attorneys
- Audiologists and hearing-aid consultants
- Authors who use AI
- Carpenters
- Coast Guard personnel
- Cyber security experts: assisted by AI.
- Chefs
- City and county jobs that are unionized
- Computer game designers using AI
- Computer maintenance personnel on legacy software
- Cruise line staff
- Cruise line engineers and machine room personnel
- Company owners
- Construction workers
- Consultants with AI support
- Delivery drivers who need to hand-carry packages.
- Dentists
- Dental hygiene workers
- Elected officials: city, county, State, and Federal
- Electricians
- Electric power repairs
- Farmers
- Film and TV actors and actresses
- Film and TV directors and editors
- Firemen
- Flight attendants
- Front office personnel in hotels, government offices, etc.
- Government workers in executive positions
- Government agencies such as the CIA, FBI, Internal Revenue, etc.
- Journalists: who are famous with large reader bases
- Judges: local, state, Federal, Supreme Court
- Laborers
- Lifeguards at beaches and pools
- Magazine reporters.
- Maintenance personnel: buildings, roads, etc.
- Mechanics
- Medical and dental personnel
- Meteorologists
- Military officers
- Military personnel
- Movie and television gaffers
- Musicians: live performers
- National-park rangers
- Newspaper reporters
- Nursing aids
- Plumbers
- Police
- Postal workers
- Prison guards
- Real Estate agents
- Reporters for television and major newspapers
- Road repair personnel
- Software architects and design personnel on AI projects
- Software development and maintenance engineers on AI projects.
- Special forces for secret military operations.
- Sports: football, golf, baseball, basketball, tennis, players and coaches, etc.
- State-park rangers and personnel
- Tax collectors
- Television news staff
- Truck drivers who unload goods and boxes.
- Undertakers
- Union members whose contracts prohibit AI replacement.
- Veterinarians
- Waiters and waitresses
Florida and Sarasota Government Jobs that Can be Replaced by Artificial Intelligence
In 2023 Florida has about 11 million employed workers. As many as 7 million of these workers could be replaced by artificial intelligence within 10 years.
Sarasota has about 3,600 workers. By 2027 about 2,000 could be replaced by artificial intelligence. The only jobs that cannot be replaced are elected officials and people who use tools such as mechanics. Also. people who need to move or drive such as police and firemen cannot be replaced by artificial intelligence. All jobs that deal only with information are at risk: receptionists, clerks, and even low-level software engineers since artificial intelligence can now build software systems.
So far nothing has been published about the dangers of artificial intelligence replacing government workers. But since AI job losses could start as early as 2024, now is the time to begin planning for the next few years.
Unless the Sarasota Commissioners and the Sarasota city government move quickly, this is what a Sarasota government office will look like in 2050:
The State of Florida and Sarasota County and the City should immediately form study groups that use local computer science faculty as consultants, in order to plan ahead before the job losses actually start to happen, which could be before the end of 2024.
Legally only humans can run for office so AI cannot replace elected officials, although it might be that AI could do better than some. Also, artificial intelligence cannot be bribed, or threatened or coerced although computer programmers can be bribed and threatened. However, computer programmers can also hack into the bank accounts of those who threaten them, so that is not a wise option.
Jobs that Cannot be Performed by Artificial Intelligence
Following are sample illustrations created by artificial intelligence of jobs that AI cannot do.
First is an image of a hospital nurse:
Next is a picture of a policeman created with artificial intelligence and available from Pixabay:
Next is a picture of a woman combat soldier:
The final illustration is Sam Altman of Open AI testifying to Congress about the impact of AI on America:
Jobs that cannot be done by artificial intelligence require outside movement, use of tools, or jobs that are protected by legal or union regulations. Elected officials cannot be replaced by AI because only humans can be entered onto election ballots.
It is fortunate for politicians that they cannot be replaced by artificial intelligence, because AI does a better job in decision making than many live politicians.
In the future, competent elected officials, and regular government workers, will use AI tools to examine the pros and cons of complex topics.
As recent examples of how AI might help, any reader who uses Google Bard or another AI tool should ask basic questions such as “what will be the impact of large new hotels on Siesta Key winter traffic.” Or questions about solutions, such as “what can be done to improve winter traffic on Siesta Key?”
Unless government workers learn to use artificial intelligence, they are at risk of being replaced by artificial intelligence.
For Florida and Sarasota, government workers need to be taught how to use artificial intelligence for their jobs. Also unions such as the American Federation of Government Employees need to seek protective legislation to avoid jobs being replaced by artificial intelligence.
Teaching AI to young people will soon be standard. Starting in 2024 the University of Florida will require that all students take at least one course in artificial intelligence no matter what they major in.
For older government workers who need to learn about AI to use it in their jobs, either local universities or local computer associations can provide live courses and Zoom courses. In Sarasota the Sarasota Technology Users Group has many retired computer professionals who might help. There are similar computer associations in most cities in Florida and throughout the United States.p0
This is the end of 2023. Every year more people will be at risk of losing jobs unless government, corporations, and international organizations work together to plan how artificial intelligence can be integrated into the American work force without putting millions of workers out of jobs.
The next section discusses new jobs that artificial intelligence can create, but they are less than 10% of the jobs that will be lost.
New kinds of jobs that will be created due to artificial intelligence
2024 U.S. Employment = 165 million; new kinds of jobs = 10 million
- AI assisted cyber-security experts.
- AI assisted movie and television production personnel.
- AI assisted home security specialists.
- AI assisted bankers and financial planners.
- AI assisted librarians in major libraries.
- AI assisted military planning personnel.
- AI assisted medical and hospital staff.
- AI assisted Federal and State investigative bureaus.
- AI assisted paralegals.
- AI assisted traffic control personnel.
- AI assisted commercial artists.
- AI assisted musical composers.
- AI assisted military planning specialists.
- AI assisted home and office building construction crews.
- AI assisted secret service and protection details for high-level officials.
- AI assisted scientists and researchers in all fields.
- AI assisted State and local government agencies.
- AI assisted tax collection agencies at all levels.
- AI assisted telephone personnel.
- AI assisted television production crews.
An interesting picture of AI-assisted jobs shows an IMAX movie camera crew created by artificial intelligence:
AI can design background, operate drones for overhead shots, and obey the commands of directors by voice or telephone. AI can also generate images of background actors and actresses for crowd scenes.