#342 – DECISION MAKING UNDER CERTAINTY, UNCERTAINTY, AND RISK – PATRICK OW

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In Part 1 of this series, we looked at the two relevant dimensions for decision-making under certainty, risk, and uncertainty that form the certainty-uncertainty spectrum are:

  1. Degree of certainty – It ranges from close to certainty to far from certainty.
  2. Level of predictability and control – It moves from close to predictability and control to far from predictability and control.

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#3 – UNCERTAINTY & RISK BASED DECISION MAKING, JOHN PROHODSKY –

Uncertainty and risk are often used interchangeably, however, they are different.

Is understanding the difference between risk and uncertainty really that important?  Yes, especially when developing a management or project plan.  Risk is a known or anticipated event with an unknown outcome.  Uncertainty is an event that may not be anticipated.  A good plan includes mitigations for anticipated risks. Continue reading